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Global warming could exceed 1.5 degrees Celsius in 5 years, according to a new WMO report

The United Nations (UN) has warned that in the next five years, global temperatures could break below the pre-industrial threshold of 1.5 degrees Celsius. The report comes a few years after the 2015 Paris Climate Agreement, in which the participating countries agreed to limit global warming to less than 2 degrees Celsius and, if possible, 1.5 degrees Celsius above the levels measured between 1850 and 1900. According to a new climate update released by the UN’s World Meteorological Organization (WMO), for the next five years at least one year, global average global temperatures are likely to rise by 50-50 degrees Celsius, 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels. Levels – and the probability is increasing.

The WMO said there was a 93 percent chance of warming at a record low of at least one year between 2022 and 2026, displacing 2016 from the top.

To create meaningful information for decision makers, WMOs Annual update Gains the knowledge of internationally renowned meteorologists and the best forecasting tools from leading meteorological centers around the world.

Since 2015, when it is close to zero, the chance of temporarily reaching 1.5 degrees Celsius has slowly increased. Between 2017 and 2021, there is a 10 percent chance of surpassing the target. For the years 2022-2026, that probability has increased to almost 50 percent.

WMO Secretary-General Petrie Thales said their analysis reveals that the world is getting significantly closer to temporarily reaching the lower goal of the Paris climate deal. The thallus 1.5 degree Celsius figure is not coincidental, but predicts when weather effects will become more devastating to individuals and the entire earth.

The Paris Agreement sets out the long-term goals that all countries must pursue while taking steps to significantly reduce global greenhouse gas emissions and keep global warming below 2 degrees Celsius this century, while at less than 1.5 degrees Celsius.

Thales said temperatures will continue to rise as long as people continue to emit greenhouse gases. In addition, oceans will continue to warm and become more acidic, sea ice and glaciers will melt, sea levels will rise and the atmosphere will become more intense. Arctic warming is disproportionately high and what is happening in the Arctic affects everyone.

Dr Leon Hermanson, who led the report, said that while the one-year rise in temperature by more than 1.5 degrees Celsius did not indicate that the iconic threshold of the Paris Agreement had been broken, it did show that the Earth was approaching a point of 1.5 degrees Celsius. Is beyond the extended period.

According to Provisional WMO report On a global climate level, the global average temperature in 2021 will be 1.1 degrees Celsius higher than the pre-industrial baseline.


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