Somehow, someway, the third quarter is almost over. That means we’re gearing up for a wave of venture capital data that will drop in less than two weeks. We are trying to get the final numbers as the third quarter of 2022 is the most important data point.
why That’s because Q1 2022 is full of deals that started back in 2021, while venture economics is spitting out very different valuations and deal sizes than what we’re seeing today. The second quarter was the same, it wasn’t a completely decadent period. (Y Combinator’s Michael Seibel noted in a recent interview that it won’t be clear how slow things will be until April or May.)
But the third quarter should give us a picture of global and regional venture capital markets with no 2021 overhang and none of the excitement we saw at the start of Q2. So we have some questions — just like last year.
To help formulate our questions, we extracted primary data. That’s not good.
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Venture capital activity in the United States will slow dramatically in Q3 2022, with $70.8 billion invested in 3,972 deals in the second quarter, compared to $37.87 billion currently invested in 2,424 deals, according to a quick and dirty pitchbook query. Recall that US venture capital activity peaked in Q4 2021, valued at nearly $94.7 billion.